Thomas Picketty’s latest book, Capital and Ideology, provides a stimulating analysis of contemporary political issues. These are always grounded in detailed historical research which explore how social, economic and political drivers of the past have shaped the nature of current political practices with a strong emphasis on the role of ideas.
One interesting issue he addresses is that of the Labour Party’s evolution in the post war period. It provides a challenging perspective on the collapse of the red wall and the alienation of working class voters over recent years. The issue of immigration and the lack of an effective narrative to address many traditional labour voters concerns is often cited as one of the causes of this loss of support.
The distance between the party and its voters seemed apparent in the unguarded comments of Gordon Brown, recorded during the 2010 election campaign, about a labour supporter, Gillian Duffy, who he called a bigot after she had questioned him on immigration and “people on benefits”. To dismiss the lady as bigoted was seen by many as illustrative of the views of an out of touch metropolitan elite who no longer had any real understanding of the problems faced by the people they were supposed to represent.
Clearly there are a number of historical forces at work in this apparent divorce of Labour’s political elite from its base. Picketty would be the first to accept and indeed insist on this. However, he points to a specific driver which he feels has played a major part in the evolution of this divide. Education and a concomitant commitment to a meritocratic view of equality.
Picketty sees the structure of political debate and division evolving over the post war period and resolves this evolution into two broad eras. Firstly, the period from 1950 to 1980 which he characterises as “classist”. In other words a battle between advantaged, right, and less advantaged, left, social classes. The heyday of the bipolar party system with Labour the party of the workers, and Conservative the party of the owners. The left / right model which this represented has, over the years become less relevant but continues to shape many debates in ways which are counterproductive in Picketty’s view.
From 1990 to 2020 he perceives the terms of political debate having moved to one which is more about competing elites. These elites coalesce into two broad groupings around the traditional parties. One, Labour, supported by the more highly educated, the other, Conservative supported by the wealthiest and most highly paid.
Picketty’s analysis of the structure of political affiliations in the UK is situated in a much broader consideration of social democratic politics across West and Eastern Europe, the USA and some non-western countries including India in the post war period. He never lacks ambition.
He looks specifically at the level of education of voters for parties of the left and parties of the right using a variety of survey sources. His findings across the piece for left of centre social democratic parties are similar to those for the Labour Party in the UK. Broadly he claims that in the classist period, from 1950 to 1980, the vote for left wing parties was significantly lower amongst the 10% of the population with the highest levels of education than amongst the 90% of the population with the lowest levels of education. The size of the gap between these two diminished over the two decades from 1950 such that in the 1990’s and 2000’s the vote for Labour amongst the 10% of the population with the highest levels of education increased and became significantly higher than those voting for the party from the 90% of the population less well educated.
In parallel with this a meritocratic theory of inequality was adopted. Equality of opportunity was seen as the key which critically meant developing better access to education for the working class. The 1960’s saw the expansion of the Universities following the Robbins Report and the expansion of Polytechnics promoted by Anthony Crossland. Essentially, the aim was to level up the playing field of education to allow working class students to have better and more equitable access.
Through the late 1960’s and 70’s this obviously benefited a significant number of Labour supporters who went on to become senior members of the Labour Party with a very positive view of the beneficial effects of education. Consistent with this was a positive view about their own meritocratic progress. This, according the Picketty, has meant over the years Social Democratic Parties including Labour have “come to be seen as increasingly favourable to the winners in the educational contest while they have lost the support they used to enjoy among less well-educated groups in the post war period.”(712)
The problem with a view that focuses on formal access to education as the key driver of equality fails to take account of the many, less obvious, barriers that exist for individuals from low income families. Picketty feels that the loud support for a meritocratic starting point ignores the facts on outcomes at the end of the race.
Picketty refers to what he sees as an “astonishingly prescient” work by the sociologist Micheal Young, The Rise of Meritocracy”. This was a dystopian novel in which British society is increasingly stratified on the basis of cognitive capacity which is closely related to social origins. In the novel the Tory Party become the party of the highly educated and dominate the “technicians” in a world where science has decreed that only one third of the population is employable. Picketty sees elements of the novel coming to pass but it is the Labour Party which has become the representative of the educational meritocracy, or in Picketty’s short hand the Brahmin left.
There is much in Picketty’s analysis that can be challenged but his limpid exposition is exemplary and provides a clear target for those who wish to challenge him. His analysis of the mistakes and failures of social democratic politics is much more wide ranging and I will come back to it in the future. His thesis about the Brahmin left as part of it is worthy of consideration and should at the very least provoke wider debate which is sorely needed, as what is not in doubt is the alienation of many traditional Labour voters.
