Moving People

Our Defence Secretary, Grant Shaps, was asked whether the British Government thought it was possible for 1 million people in the North of Gaza to move to the south in 24 hours. He started by saying the British government agrees with the Israeli government that Hamas needs to be removed from the scene but then went on to qualify this by saying it should be done “in a manner that does not affect the Palestinian population as far as is possible”.

Pressed on the point about how feasible such an ultimatum was he then talked about how dreadful Hamas are and how unspeakably vile its actions were in its attack on Isreal. On all this I think most people would agree with the Defence Secretary.

However, interviewer, Michelle Hussein tried to bring him back to the question she started with about the feasibility of moving 1 million people in 24 hours, including the elderly and the sick, across a war zone, where relentless missile bombardments have destroyed large parts of the transport infrastructure, with fuel, food and water scarcity.

The Defence Secretary refocused saying the warning the Israeli army was giving was important and that this was something Hamas had not provided. Well yes, I guess that is why the British Government have declared Hamas a terrorist organisation. But that does not answer the question at the heart of this. Is the order issued by the Israeli military consistent with acting in “a manner that does not affect the Palestinian population as far as possible”?

Indeed in the introduction to the piece, Michelle Hussein, reported the Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, as having asked the Israeli government to take “all possible measures to protect ordinary Palestinian citizens”.

Just to give some scale to the Israeli Army’s order. Liverpool has a population of just under 500,000 people. Manchester has a population of just over 500,000 people. Try and imagine what would happen if they were both told they had to move every person in both cities to Warrington within 24 hours and the M62 was destroyed and no trains were running.

Does this sound like a strategy consistent with “not affecting” or “protecting” ordinary Palestinian citizens?

Saturday 10/7 was a black day, one which, as they said about Pearl Harbour, “will live in infamy”. There can be no excuse. The fear must be that one despicable act, killing hundreds of innocent civilians will spawn a response killing hundreds of other innocent civilians. And on and on and on.

This is a process which has moved from horrendous to terrifying and risks armageddon. It is premised on the false assumption there is a military solution to the problems of the Middle East. Only one thing is certain there is no likelihood of any solution being found before hundreds, possibly thousands more innocents are killed.

Victory?

The atrocities of Hamas in Israel on 10/7 certainly bare comparison with those in the United States on 9/11. Some form of retribution is justifiable and in reality inevitable.

The question is, will the scale and nature of the retribution bring a lasting solution to a the awful situation closer or will it push it further away.

Benjamin Netanyahu claims the Israeli response to the murder and abduction of its citizens will “change the Middle East”. The British Foreign Secretary might have pointed out we have tried that and it does not work.

Attempting to eliminate c30,000 Hamas fighters by starving 2.4m people of all services is likely to have all the long term success of the arbitrary, imperial line drawing of Sykes Picot.

The Middle East is a victory free zone. There are periods when those who impose greater losses on “the enemy” claim a win. But that is only a temporary “win” planting the seeds for bloody reprisals whether immediately or at some point in the medium term.

Neither side ever truly safe. Always living in fear and with a constant need for security.

Sadly, now is not a time when talk of peace or reconciliation will gain any traction. Realistic engagement will only be possible after much innocent blood has been shed. This should be a source of everlasting shame to all those involved, and that includes the imperial powers who lay the border foundations of this whole mess.

When the next moment of exhaustion provides some space there should be a determined efforts to support a locally negotiated, internationally brokered way forward with resources.

Until then, even we committed atheists can only pray actions on all sides over the next few weeks or months are constrained by some common humanity. I only hope the power of prayer is stronger than I expect it to be.

Deny and Delay

For something in excess of 40 years a group of fossil fuel interests have funded campaigns of climate change denial. This despite having their own evidence that the problem was real, progressive and existential.

As wildfires, floods, landslides, glacier retreats, temperature extreme records multiplied the ability to deny became non viable.

A new strategy was needed to ensure the oil kept flowing. Step forward delay.

Putin creates a new need for energy security and a swift focus on fossil fuel as opposed to a much more sustainable renewable energy strategy.

Then the cost of living crisis added another argument. Suddenly, those making record dividend payments on the back of record fuel prices were distraught at the plight of families hit by the cost of living crisis.

We now have a national leader flying kites about delaying the actions which will secure Net Zero by 2050. You cannot will the ends without the means.

We can’t save the planet by making the UK bankrupt. What this overlooks is the growing cost that the environment is going to impose if we do not act now.

There has been warning after warning about the need for action. These have been ignored.

The lights are going out in the last chance saloon. One can only hope those responsible for initially promoting denial and currently promoting delay will ultimately be held responsible. if only it was a moral universe.

Wake Up!

Is the next election worth the world? What will the Conservative Party not do to try to try to cling to power? One of the world’s leading economies diluting its climate commitments will play straight into the playbook of the climate action delayers.

The Prime Minister has demonstrated a total lack of integrity or a compete lack of understanding of the scale of the climate crisis.

This on the day when Lough Neagh is in the news because of a blue green algae threatening the water supply to a significant proportion of Northern Ireland. Not to mention a summer of record breaking heatwaves and wild fires.

This is a breathtaking failure of political leadership.